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CRDO
—Battle card 2026-07-02P0–P4 posterior hypotheses
P030%
P226%
P122%
P315%
P47%
Valuation band · peer percentiles
$241.91
bear 27.37base 62.37bull 136.89
peer EV/S 25/50/75分位带 — level口径弱信号, 非目标价
| LV | Zone | Role | Trigger | Action | Invalidation | Evidence | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L01 | 233-238 | base低/52周RS支撑 | 确认 | 守住=P0持有 | 收破233放量→P2 | TECH+OI | 中高 |
| L02 | 259 | 前高/short-call回补线 | 触发 | 带量收复→回补340C≥3张 | 假突破缩量 | TECH+FLOW | 高 |
| L03 | 308.7 | 52周高/pivot | 观察 | 接近时重评short call | — | TECH | 中 |
| L04 | 340 | short 4×340C 行权价 | 失效 | 逼近=被封顶,提前roll/回补 | — | OPT | 高 |
Next checks · falsification points
- ☐7/3事件落地后复盘
- ☐MC OrderSentiment 看 Jan-27 180C 是否连续第2天(D2)
- ☐P/C OI 0.9 是否继续下行
Options tails · under watch
CRDO 2027-01-15 180C
D1 · 1d · LEAPS股票替代 +31,483Δ
System ratings and research records, not investment advice. Stances, levels and probabilities are verbatim engine output.